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In Q2 2024, the U.S. economy is set for a soft landing despite risks from elections and geopolitical tensions. Strong labor growth and gradual inflation decline are expected. While the Fed remains cautious on rate cuts, investment opportunities in global markets and alternative assets offer promising prospects for investors.
The U.S. is on pace for a soft landing, but risks remain - As falling inflation and rising real wages offset dwindling excess savings and tighter credit conditions, moderate consumption growth should carry the U.S. economy to a soft landing. That said, with a U.S. election on the horizon, higher policy rates and elevated geopolitical tension, risks remain that could knock the U.S. economy off its steady path.
The assessment of the U.S. economic landscape for the 4th quarter of 2023 presents a nuanced perspective on critical factors shaping the year ahead. Exploring elements such as employment, inflation, global growth, and market performance, the analysis provides valuable insights into the complex dynamics influencing the economic and investment landscape in 2024.